AJStrata's arctic research station
After reading only the first paragraph of a NYTimes article on Arctic sea ice retreat, AJStrata picks up the mojito that's been waiting for him in the sun and finds it's become a bit too dilute. That's it! I got it! he exclaims and rushes to the keyboard...Nope, the models are just infamously wrong - again. Really wrong. The fact is the ice is melting WITHOUT the required change in air temperature. That is what caught these people off-guard. They expected the air to much hotter when all this ice melted. That can mean only one thing - it isn’t the air! In other words, it is not the green house gases nor is it the miniscule amount of green house effect CO2 can exert (only 3% - well behind water).That's just too good for me to comment on further except to direct you to read the article he linked to. If AJ had done so, he might have even learned a thing or two about clouds.
This is how scientist process information. Objectively and without bias (or personal emotions). If the ice is melting faster than expected and at lower general temperatures then something else is adding energy into the system. I don’t have the water temperatures but that would be the first place I would look. If they are up a bit then it is likely solar radiation is heating the world’s oceans and that is accelerating the melt. I believe that this year in the artic water temps actually dipped. So that leaves one big culprit - the Sun.
Increases in Solar radiation, possibly only in certain wavelengths or on average, could melt ice faster without there being an incease in air temp. Water vapor cools our atmosphere and is a large heat sink. But radiation could pass right through and heat the water (think of how a microwave oven works, set on really, really low). This may be the final nail in the coffin of the global warming conspiracy theories. If we are seeing increases in solar radiation, even in only a few wavelengths, hitting the earth that could be the source of the warming. Not humanity.
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